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TEXTUAL SUMMARY REPORT |
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Date prepared: |
31-Dec-03 |
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The
following three operational & financial reports for ANY INC cover |
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the
months and years commencing in Jan 2005. They have been derived |
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from the detailed
assumptions in Exl-Plan's Monthly and Quarterly Reports. |
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1. FIRST-YEAR OPERATIONAL REPORT - ANY INC |
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This
First-Year Operational Report covers the initial twelve months to end Dec
2005 |
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based on detailed monthly
projections and assumptions. |
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The following table summarizes
quarterly sales projections for the year: |
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Quarters in
Year to Dec 2005 |
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Annual |
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Sales |
1 Qtr |
2 Qtr |
3 Qtr |
4 Qtr |
Total |
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|
$000 |
$000 |
$000 |
$000 |
$000 |
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Product Group: |
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-
Group1 |
305.0 |
330.0 |
370.0 |
430.0 |
1,435.0 |
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-
Group2 |
160.9 |
231.3 |
308.3 |
342.8 |
1,043.3 |
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-
Group3 |
79.3 |
114.0 |
151.9 |
177.2 |
522.4 |
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-
Group4 |
30.0 |
30.0 |
30.0 |
30.0 |
120.0 |
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-
Group5 |
60.0 |
60.0 |
60.0 |
60.0 |
240.0 |
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-
Group6 |
164.4 |
166.2 |
168.0 |
168.0 |
666.7
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-
Group7 |
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-
Group8 |
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-
Group9 |
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-
Group10 |
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Total sales |
799.6
|
931.5
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1,088.2
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1,208.0
|
4,027.4
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% Quarterly changes |
NA |
16.5 |
16.8 |
11.0 |
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Projected inventory levels for the
four quarters are as follows: |
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Opening |
Quarters in Year to Dec 2005 |
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Inventories |
Levels |
1st |
2nd |
3rd |
4th |
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|
$000 |
$000 |
$000 |
$000 |
$000 |
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Finished goods |
401.3 |
158.2
|
185.8
|
214.2
|
233.8
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Materials/goods |
202.0 |
204.5
|
204.5
|
204.5
|
204.5
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Total inventory |
603.3 |
362.7
|
390.3
|
418.7
|
438.3
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The projected average
materials/goods cost percentages for the four quarters are: |
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Quarterly Averages for Year
to Dec 2005 |
Annual |
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Product Groups |
1st |
2nd |
3rd |
4th |
Averages |
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% Sales |
% Sales |
% Sales |
% Sales |
% Sales |
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Group1 |
30.2
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39.4
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36.9
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36.8
|
36.0
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Group2 |
39.4
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40.0
|
41.0
|
38.4
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39.7
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Group3 |
41.6
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42.1
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43.1
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42.1
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42.3
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Group4 |
40.0
|
40.0
|
40.0
|
40.0
|
40.0
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Group5 |
40.0
|
40.0
|
40.0
|
40.0
|
40.0
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Group6 |
37.3
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34.7
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35.0
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35.3
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35.6
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Group7 |
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Group8 |
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Group9 |
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Group10 |
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The projected headcounts at quarter
ends are as follows: |
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Quarters in Year to Dec 2005 |
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Functions |
|
1st |
2nd |
3rd |
4th |
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Nos |
Nos |
Nos |
Nos |
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Direct labor: |
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Group1 |
|
12 |
15 |
18 |
21 |
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Group2 |
|
11 |
13 |
14 |
16 |
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-
Group3 |
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5 |
10 |
10 |
10 |
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-
Group4 |
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1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
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-
Group5 |
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2 |
3 |
4 |
4 |
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-
Group6 |
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8 |
8 |
8 |
8 |
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-
Group7 |
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-
Group8 |
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-
Group9 |
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-
Group10 |
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Total direct labor |
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39
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49
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54
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59
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Indirect labor |
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10 |
10 |
10 |
10 |
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Supervisory staff |
|
5 |
5 |
5 |
5 |
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Sales |
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5 |
5 |
5 |
5 |
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Clerical |
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10 |
10 |
10 |
10 |
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Management |
|
10 |
10 |
10 |
10 |
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Research
& development |
5 |
5 |
5 |
5 |
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Total headcount |
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84
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94
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99
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104
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Direct costs and overhead expenses
are summarized below. |
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Quarters
in Year to Dec 2005 |
Annual |
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Cost Analysis |
|
1st |
2nd |
3rd |
4th |
Total |
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|
$000 |
$000 |
$000 |
$000 |
$000 |
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Materials/packaging/goods |
416.3 |
347.7 |
406.1 |
448.3 |
1,618.4 |
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Direct labor |
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189.3 |
139.6 |
161.6 |
186.3 |
676.8 |
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Other direct |
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128.7 |
97.9 |
108.0 |
124.2 |
458.8 |
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Total Cost of sales |
|
734.3 |
585.1 |
675.7 |
758.9
|
2,754.0 |
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Operational (indirect) |
|
96.0 |
96.0 |
96.0 |
96.0 |
384.0 |
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Selling & freight |
|
133.5 |
137.4 |
142.1 |
145.7 |
558.8 |
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Management/admin staff |
150.0 |
150.0 |
150.0 |
150.0 |
600.0 |
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Research
& development |
63.0 |
63.0 |
63.0 |
63.0 |
252.0 |
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Administration |
|
27.0 |
27.0 |
27.0 |
27.0 |
108.0 |
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Occupancy/general |
|
43.5 |
43.5 |
43.5 |
43.5 |
174.0 |
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Total overhead expenses |
513.0 |
516.9 |
521.6 |
525.2 |
2,076.8 |
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Total direct costs &
expenses |
1,247.3
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1,102.1
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1,197.3
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1,284.2
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4,830.9
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Proposed capital expenditure
(excluding leasing) is summarized in the next table. |
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Quarters
in Year to Dec 2005 |
Annual |
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Capital Expenditure |
|
1st |
2nd |
3rd |
4th |
Total |
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|
$000 |
$000 |
$000 |
$000 |
$000 |
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Land,
buildings & improvements |
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|
150.0 |
|
150.0 |
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Plant & machinery |
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150.0 |
|
150.0 |
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Computers
& equipment |
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100.0 |
|
100.0 |
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Automobiles,
vehicles etc. |
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50.0 |
50.0 |
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Total capital
expenditure |
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400.0 |
50.0 |
450.0 |
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Changes in longterm debt and leasing
are summarized below |
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Quarters
in Year to Dec 2005 |
Annual |
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Debt & Leasing |
|
1st |
2nd |
3rd |
4th |
Total |
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$000 |
$000 |
$000 |
$000 |
$000 |
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Increase in longterm
debt/notes |
50.0 |
|
250.0 |
250.0 |
550.0 |
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Longterm debt/note
repayments |
25.0 |
25.0 |
25.0 |
25.0 |
100.0 |
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Net changes in longterm
debt/notes |
25.0 |
(25.0) |
225.0 |
225.0 |
450.0 |
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Increases in 'other
loans' |
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125.0 |
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|
125.0 |
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'Other loan' repayments |
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|
25.0 |
25.0 |
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Net changes in 'other
loans' |
|
125.0 |
|
(25.0) |
100.0 |
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Increases in leases |
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210.0 |
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210.0 |
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Lease repayments |
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38.0 |
48.0 |
48.0 |
48.0 |
182.0 |
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Net changes in leases |
(38.0) |
162.0 |
(48.0) |
(48.0) |
28.0 |
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Overall changes in loans
& leases |
(13.0) |
262.0 |
177.0 |
152.0 |
578.0 |
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Other significant transactions
during the year include the following: |
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Quarters
in Year to Dec 2005 |
Annual |
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Other Transactions |
|
1st |
2nd |
3rd |
4th |
Total |
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|
$000 |
$000 |
$000 |
$000 |
$000 |
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Proceeds of share issues |
1,000.0 |
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|
1,000.0 |
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Proceeds of fixed asset
sales |
25.0 |
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|
100.0 |
125.0 |
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Purchases of intangible
assets |
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Dividends declared |
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2. FIRST-YEAR
FINANCIAL REPORT - ANY INC |
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This
First-Year Financial Report covers the twelve months to end Dec 2005 |
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based on detailed monthly
projections and assumptions. |
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The following table analyses sales
and gross margins by |
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main product group for the full
year: |
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Total |
Gross |
Gross |
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Year
to end Dec 2005 |
Sales |
Margin |
Margin |
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|
$000 |
$000 |
% Sales |
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Product Group: |
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Group1 |
1,435.0 |
577.5
|
40.2 |
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Group2 |
1,043.3 |
273.3
|
26.2 |
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-
Group3 |
522.4 |
78.4
|
15.0 |
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-
Group4 |
120.0 |
50.0
|
41.7 |
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-
Group5 |
240.0 |
75.9
|
31.6 |
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-
Group6 |
666.7
|
218.2
|
32.7 |
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-
Group7 |
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-
Group8 |
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-
Group9 |
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-
Group10 |
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Total |
4,027.4 |
1,273.3 |
31.6 |
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The
projected overall gross margin is 32%. |
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Based
on projected sales of $4027 000, ANY INC |
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expects
to report a LOSS of $1040 000 for the year. |
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The following table analyses these
projections: |
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Year to end Dec 2005 |
|
$000 |
% Sales |
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Sales |
|
4,027.4
|
100 |
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Cost of sales |
|
2,754.0
|
68 |
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Gross Margin |
|
1,273.3
|
32 |
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Overhead expenses: |
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-Operational
(indirect) |
|
384.0 |
10 |
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-Selling & freight |
|
558.8
|
14 |
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-Management/admin staff |
600.0 |
15 |
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-Research & development |
252.0 |
6 |
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-Administration |
|
108.0 |
3 |
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-Occupany/general |
|
174.0 |
4 |
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Bad debts |
|
20.1
|
1 |
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Depreciation |
|
191.2
|
5 |
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Operating lease payments |
66.0 |
2 |
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Total operating expenses |
2,354.2
|
58 |
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Income from operations |
(1,080.9) |
(27) |
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Other income/expenses: |
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-Profit(loss) disposal of fixed assets |
100.0 |
2 |
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-Intangible asset amortization |
60.0 |
1 |
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-Miscellaneous income |
120.0 |
3 |
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Total other income
(expenses) |
160.0 |
4 |
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Earnings before
interest & taxes |
(920.9) |
(23) |
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Interest expense/income: |
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-Interest expense |
|
34.8
|
1 |
|
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-Lease interest expense |
102.5 |
3 |
|
|
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-Interest income |
|
17.9
|
0 |
|
|
|
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Net interest expense
(income) |
119.4
|
3 |
|
|
|
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Net income before taxes |
(1,040.3) |
(26) |
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Based
on detailed monthly projections, the net cash inflow |
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for
the twelve months will be $271 000. The projected year-end bank |
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position
will be a $161 000 cash balance. |
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The
next table compares the projected results with those for |
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the
previous year which ended in Dec 2004. |
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Years ending: |
|
Dec 2004 |
Dec 2005 |
Change |
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| |
|
|
$000 |
$000 |
% |
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| |
|
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Sales |
|
2,313.0 |
4,027.4
|
74 |
|
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| |
Cost of sales |
|
1,350.0 |
2,754.0
|
104 |
|
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| |
Gross margin |
|
963.0 |
1,273.3
|
32 |
|
|
| |
Total operating expenses |
1,090.0 |
2,354.2
|
116 |
|
|
| |
Income from operations |
(127.0) |
(1,080.9) |
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|
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| |
Other income, interest
expense etc. |
(35.0) |
40.6
|
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| |
Net income before taxes |
(162.0) |
(1,040.3) |
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Taxes |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
Net income |
|
(162.0) |
(1,040.3) |
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| |
Dividends
declared |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
Transferred
to reserves |
|
(162.0) |
(1,040.3) |
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| |
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This
indicates that sales could increase by $1714 000 while |
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net
income could DECLINE by $878 000 over the year. |
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The following table summarizes
cashflows for the year by quarter. |
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Quarters
in Year to Dec 2005 |
Annual |
|
| |
Cashflows |
|
1st |
2nd |
3rd |
4th |
Total |
|
| |
|
|
$000 |
$000 |
$000 |
$000 |
$000 |
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| |
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|
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| |
Total cash receipts |
|
1,945.9 |
1,152.8 |
1,463.7 |
1,756.1 |
6,318.5 |
|
| |
Total cash payments |
|
1,161.2 |
1,330.1 |
1,545.7 |
2,010.6 |
6,047.5 |
|
| |
Net cashflow |
|
784.7
|
(177.3) |
(82.0) |
(254.4) |
270.9 |
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
| |
Closing cash balances
(deficit) |
674.7
|
497.4
|
415.4
|
160.9
|
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
| |
|
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| |
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| |
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|
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| |
|
|
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
| |
|
|
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| |
|
|
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
| |
The following key assumptions
regarding rates etc. were used |
|
|
| |
in
compiling the projections for the year to end Dec 2005. |
|
|
| |
|
|
| |
Items |
|
Value |
Basis |
|
|
| |
Headcount: |
|
|
|
|
| |
Direct workers |
|
47.6 |
Avg monthly numbers |
|
|
| |
All other staff |
|
45.0 |
Avg monthly numbers |
|
|
| |
Bad debts |
|
0.5 |
As percent sales |
|
|
| |
Depreciation: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
Land, buildings & improvements |
3.0 |
Annual % rates |
|
|
| |
Plant & machinery |
|
10.0 |
Annual % rates |
|
|
| |
Computers & equipment |
25.0 |
Annual % rates |
|
|
| |
Automobiles, vehicles etc. |
25.0 |
Annual % rates |
|
|
| |
Interest rates (% pa): |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
Cash at bank |
|
4.0 |
Monthly average |
|
|
| |
Short-term loans/ine of credit |
10.0 |
Monthly average |
|
|
| |
Longterm debt/notes |
|
9.0 |
Monthly average |
|
|
| |
Working capital: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
Accounts receivable (days sales) |
52 |
Based on full-yr sales |
|
|
| |
Inventory (days sales) |
|
40 |
Based on full-yr sales |
|
|
| |
Accounts payable (days costs & expenses) |
30 |
Based on full-yr costs |
|
|
| |
|
|
| |
The following key ratios have been
derived from the 12-month |
|
|
| |
projections
for the year ending Dec 2005: |
|
|
| |
|
|
| |
|
|
Max/Min |
|
Full Year |
|
|
| |
Ratios |
|
Monthly |
|
or Year End |
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
Profitability: |
|
|
|
|
| |
Gross margin (%) |
|
41.2 |
Max Value |
31.6 |
|
|
| |
Net income before taxes (% sales) |
5.6 |
Max Value |
-25.8 |
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
Current asset ratio
(times) |
1.3 |
Min Value |
1.6 |
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
Debt/equity (%) |
|
70 |
Max Value |
60 |
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
Sales/total assets
(times) |
|
1.6 |
|
|
| |
Net income before
taxes/total assets (%) |
|
na |
|
|
| |
Projected sales as %
breakeven |
|
|
61 |
|
|
| |
|
|
| |
This table indicates that the
following financial indicators |
|
|
| |
derived from the detailed
projections, may be out-of-line with |
|
|
| |
generally-accepted norms: |
|
|
| |
|
|
|
| |
* Debt/equity ratio may be too high |
|
|
| |
|
|
|
| |
|
|
|
| |
|
|
|
| |
3. FIVE-YEAR FINANCIAL
REPORT - ANY INC |
|
|
|
| |
|
|
| |
This
Financial Report covers the five years to the end of Dec 2009. It has |
|
| |
been
based on detailed monthly projections for the initial three years and |
|
|
| |
quarterly projections for the
following two years. |
|
|
| |
|
|
| |
The following table summarizes the
projected trading performance: |
|
|
| |
|
|
| |
Years
to end Dec |
2004 |
2005 |
2006 |
2007 |
2008 |
2009 |
|
| |
|
Act/Est |
Proj |
Proj |
Proj |
Proj |
Proj |
|
| |
|
$000 |
$000 |
$000 |
$000 |
$000 |
$000 |
|
| |
|
|
|
|
| |
Sales |
2,313 |
4,027
|
8,911
|
19,402
|
29,796
|
39,379
|
|
| |
Cost of sales |
1,350 |
2,754
|
4,963
|
9,569
|
14,187
|
18,918
|
|
| |
Gross margin |
963 |
1,273
|
3,949
|
9,833
|
15,609
|
20,461
|
|
| |
Total operating expenses |
990 |
2,077
|
4,079
|
7,731
|
11,272
|
14,729
|
|
| |
Income from operations |
(27) |
(803) |
(130) |
2,102
|
4,337
|
5,732
|
|
| |
Other income, interest etc. |
(135) |
(237) |
(488) |
(688) |
(961) |
(1,614) |
|
| |
Net income before taxes |
(162) |
(1,040) |
(618) |
1,414
|
3,375
|
4,118
|
|
| |
Taxes |
|
|
|
113
|
506
|
824
|
|
| |
Net income |
(162) |
(1,040) |
(618) |
1,301
|
2,869
|
3,294
|
|
| |
Dividends
declared |
|
|
|
300 |
1,000 |
1,250 |
|
| |
Transferred
to reserves |
(162) |
(1,040) |
(618) |
1,001
|
1,869
|
2,044
|
|
| |
|
|
| |
For
the first three years under review, sales should change by 739% |
|
|
| |
and
projected net income before taxes for the third year is $1414 000. |
|
|
| |
|
|
| |
By
the fifth year, sales should reach $39379 000 and the projected |
|
|
| |
net
income before taxes could be $4118 000. |
|
|
| |
|
|
| |
|
| |
|
| |
|
| |
|
| |
|
| |
|
| |
|
| |
|
| |
|
| |
|
| |
|
| |
|
| |
|
| |
|
| |
|
| |
|
| |
|
| |
|
| |
|
|
| |
The
projected cashflows for ANY INC during the five years |
|
|
| |
under review are summarized below: |
|
|
| |
|
|
| |
Years to end Dec |
2005 |
2006 |
2007 |
2008 |
2009 |
|
|
| |
|
Proj |
Proj |
Proj |
Proj |
Proj |
|
|
| |
|
$000 |
$000 |
$000 |
$000 |
$000 |
|
|
| |
Net cashflows from: |
|
|
|
|
| |
Operations |
(727) |
(1,105) |
538 |
2,827
|
3,736
|
|
|
| |
Investing activities |
(370) |
(695) |
(1,220) |
(950) |
(3,000) |
|
|
| |
Financing activities |
1,368 |
1,762 |
753 |
(590) |
(1,290) |
|
|
| |
Increase (decr) cash |
271 |
(38) |
71 |
1,287 |
(554) |
|
|
| |
|
|
| |
The
projected cumulative net cash inflow over the five years is |
|
|
| |
$1037
000. |
|
|
| |
|
|
| |
|
| |
|
| |
|
| |
|
| |
|
| |
|
| |
|
| |
|
| |
|
| |
|
| |
|
| |
|
| |
|
| |
|
| |
|
| |
|
| |
|
| |
|
| |
|
| |
|
|
| |
The next table shows the projected
balance sheets. |
|
|
| |
|
|
| |
Years to end Dec |
2004 |
2005 |
2006 |
2007 |
2008 |
2009 |
|
| |
|
Act/Est |
Proj |
Proj |
Proj |
Proj |
Proj |
|
| |
|
$000 |
$000 |
$000 |
$000 |
$000 |
$000 |
|
| |
|
|
|
|
| |
ASSETS |
|
|
|
| |
Current assets: |
|
|
|
| |
Cash |
10 |
161
|
123
|
193
|
1,481
|
927
|
|
| |
Other |
988 |
1,074
|
2,616
|
4,880
|
6,691
|
8,733
|
|
| |
Total current assets |
998 |
1,235
|
2,738
|
5,073
|
8,172
|
9,660
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
| |
Fixed & intang assets |
895 |
1,279 |
1,856 |
2,959 |
5,594 |
7,505 |
|
| |
|
|
|
|
| |
Total assets |
1,893 |
2,513
|
4,594
|
8,032
|
13,766
|
17,165
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
| |
LIABILITIES |
|
|
|
| |
Current liabilities: |
|
|
|
| |
Short-term loans/credit |
120 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
Other |
545 |
760
|
1,490
|
2,894
|
6,792
|
8,144
|
|
| |
Total current liabilities |
665 |
760
|
1,490
|
2,894
|
6,792
|
8,144
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
| |
Total longterm liabilities |
125 |
690 |
659 |
692 |
659 |
662 |
|
| |
|
|
|
|
| |
Total
owners' equity |
1,103 |
1,063
|
2,445
|
4,446
|
6,315
|
8,359
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
| |
Total liabilities |
1,893 |
2,513 |
4,594 |
8,032
|
13,766 |
17,165 |
|
| |
|
|
| |
The
projected change in owners' equity is $7256 000 and the |
|
|
| |
expected
closing net cash position is $927 000. |
|
|
| |
|
|
| |
The
overall projected performance of ANY INC for the five years |
|
|
| |
under review is assessed in the
following table: |
|
|
| |
|
|
| |
Years to end Dec |
|
2005 |
2006 |
2007 |
2008 |
2009 |
|
| |
|
|
Proj |
Proj |
Proj |
Proj |
Proj |
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
| |
Gross margin (% sales) |
31.6
|
44.3
|
50.7
|
52.4
|
52.0
|
|
| |
Net income before taxes
(% sales) |
-25.8
|
-6.9
|
7.3 |
11.3
|
10.5
|
|
| |
Sales as % breakeven |
|
61 |
97 |
127
|
138
|
139
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
| |
Net income before
taxes/total assets (%) |
|
|
17.6 |
24.5 |
24.0 |
|
| |
Sales/total assets
(times) |
1.6 |
1.9 |
2.4 |
2.2 |
2.3 |
|
| |
Net debt as percent |
|
|
|
| |
owners' equity (Max=200%) |
60 |
25 |
10
|
|
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
| |
Net
assets per share ($) |
1.33
|
2.04
|
3.29
|
4.68
|
6.19
|
|
| |
Earnings
per share ($) |
|
-1.60
|
-0.62
|
1.02
|
2.13
|
2.44
|
|
| |
Dividend
per share ($) |
|
|
|
0.22
|
0.74
|
0.93
|
|
| |
|
|
| |
This
table indicates that the following financial ratios may be |
|
|
| |
out-of-line with generally accepted
norms for one or more years: |
|
|
| |
|
|
| |
* Net borrowings as % owners' equity may
be too high |
|
|
| |
|
|
|
| |
* Net income before taxes as % total
assets may be low |
|
|
| |
|
|
|
| |
|
|
| |
|
|
| |
|
|
| |
|
|
| |
|
|
| |
|
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| |
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| |
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| |
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| |
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| |
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